Description

This analysis provides a forecast of HBAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.038664 0.043839 0.049588 0.056470 0.064518 0.073669 0.084915
2024-10-06 0.032080 0.039334 0.048184 0.059889 0.075132 0.094544 0.121519
2024-10-13 0.025939 0.033426 0.043129 0.056836 0.076042 0.102521 0.142734
2024-10-20 0.022377 0.029987 0.040336 0.055756 0.078708 0.112545 0.168049
2024-10-27 0.019592 0.027106 0.037735 0.054290 0.080228 0.120744 0.191881
2024-11-03 0.018144 0.025867 0.037209 0.055647 0.086016 0.136261 0.230783
2024-11-10 0.016958 0.024837 0.036805 0.057034 0.091938 0.152898 0.275460
2024-11-17 0.015640 0.023437 0.035628 0.056946 0.095255 0.165469 0.315419
2024-11-24 0.014348 0.021935 0.034099 0.056017 0.096860 0.175064 0.351629
2024-12-01 0.013472 0.021007 0.033397 0.056401 0.100882 0.189969 0.403179
2024-12-08 0.012642 0.020071 0.032571 0.056431 0.104185 0.203972 0.456547
2024-12-15 0.011919 0.019245 0.031843 0.056534 0.107611 0.218845 0.516435
2024-12-22 0.010925 0.017927 0.030220 0.054933 0.107732 0.227493 0.566192
2024-12-29 0.010671 0.017899 0.030955 0.058142 0.118904 0.264921 0.712468
2025-01-05 0.009661 0.016414 0.028818 0.055189 0.115737 0.266420 0.751808
2025-01-12 0.008990 0.015493 0.027661 0.054145 0.116833 0.279219 0.833451
2025-01-19 0.008347 0.014569 0.026410 0.052729 0.116789 0.288978 0.909468
2025-01-26 0.008054 0.014284 0.026393 0.054040 0.123770 0.320394 1.081593
2025-02-02 0.007785 0.014022 0.026391 0.055380 0.131100 0.355060 1.287785
2025-02-09 0.007405 0.013507 0.025815 0.055295 0.134601 0.378918 1.463217
2025-02-16 0.006985 0.012881 0.024947 0.054397 0.135691 0.395306 1.615334
2025-02-23 0.006705 0.012519 0.024611 0.054768 0.140514 0.426036 1.861826
2025-03-02 0.006419 0.012121 0.024163 0.054797 0.144352 0.454612 2.120372